Tottenham arrive with notably superior recent form (conceding just 5 in 6 games, avg 0.83 per game) but are severely weakened by absences — Odobert, Simons, Kudus, Kulusevski and Solanke are all out, gutting their attacking and creative depth. Brentford's pre-season form looks high-scoring but that form data likely reflects friendlies where scorelines are inflated; their H2H record at home to Spurs is poor (three home losses or draws in recent meetings). The market correctly makes Brentford a narrow home favourite, but Spurs' injury pile tips this toward a tight, low-scoring contest where a draw is the single most probable result.