The market is emphatic — Inter priced at 1.42 implies roughly 70% probability, and the head-to-head record emphatically backs it: Cagliari have failed to score in four of the last five home meetings with Inter, conceding 10 goals in those fixtures. Inter's squad quality vastly outstrips Cagliari's at every level, and even in Round 2 with thin sample sizes, squad depth and historical dominance in this exact fixture are reliable anchors.