The xG data from Matchday 1 is striking: Racing Santander outperformed Getafe massively (1.87 vs 0.24 avgFor), yet the actual season result was a 2-2 draw for Racing and a 0-3 loss for Getafe. Getafe are bottom of the table, scoreless and already three goals down on GD, while Racing arrive fresher (7 rest days vs 3) and with more creative output. However, both sides' xG-against figures in their respective openers suggest tactical caution in this early-season meeting between newly promoted/returning sides, and the market is tight enough (home 2.2, draw 2.9) to treat this as genuinely open.
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Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.