Inter are priced at 1.18 — one of the shortest home prices in Serie A — reflecting a massive quality gap between the reigning champions and a Monza side sitting 20th with a heavily depleted squad. Monza are missing six players (Mota, Pessina, Colombo, Ciurria, Toure, Thiam), gutting their attacking and creative options before a ball is kicked in the new season. The H2H backs Inter decisively at San Siro: a 3-2 win and a 2-0 win in their two most recent home fixtures against Monza.
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Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.