The market strongly backs Juventus at 1.25, and the underlying signals fully support it. Juve's xG of 2.18 for versus just 0.41 against (even on a one-game sample) points to a dominant defensive structure, and their recent six-game form of five wins from six with only two goals conceded reinforces that. Parma failed to score in their opening Serie A match, arrive with the worst attacking numbers in recent form (0.67 goals per game), and have lost four of their last six meetings with Juventus — including a 4-1 away defeat in February 2026.