Lens arrive as clear favourites at Bollaert-Delelis: their recent form (W L W D W D) and superior goal averages (1.5 scored, 0.83 conceded) contrast sharply with Auxerre's toothless attack (0.67 per game) and an injury list that strips seven first-team players. Lens have also won four of the last six H2H meetings, including two home victories by 1-0 and the wider context that the only heavy scoreline in recent H2H (0-4) went Auxerre's way at Bollaert — a result that looks anomalous given the overall pattern.
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Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.

