Lyon are heavy market favourites at 1.44 and have strong H2H dominance at home (4-2, 1-0 in recent home meetings). Le Havre arrive with multiple key absences — Mambimbi, Toure, Zagadou and Zouaoui all out — and have failed to score in their opening Ligue 1 game, while their xG away from home and recent road form are both weak. Lyon's front line was productive in matchday 1 (2-0 win, clean sheet) and the home xG-against sample is too small to trust.