This is Matchday 1 with zero season data, so form samples are pre-season or carry-over noise — they must be treated with extreme caution. The market strongly favours RB Leipzig at 1.57 (implied ~64%) against a Gladbach side ranked 12th, and Leipzig's home record in this H2H (3W 1D 0L at Red Bull Arena in the last four meetings) supports that lean. However, Gladbach's form strip (6W, 26 goals, 3 conceded) is eye-catching even discounted for competition quality, and Leipzig carry seven injury absences including defensive cover, which tempers the clean-sheet case.
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Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.