Real Madrid's underlying xG profile (2.71 for, 1.05 against) is markedly superior to Real Sociedad's (1.36 for, 1.24 against), and their recent form across six games — five wins and a draw, scoring 14 goals — points to a high-functioning attack against a side that has lost four of their last six and failed to score in their opening La Liga fixture. Real Sociedad's leaky defensive record (1.83 conceded per game in recent form) is ill-suited to absorbing Real Madrid's offensive output at the Bernabéu.
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Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.

