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La Liga
IQ Result Pick
Real Madrid to win
65%
confidence
BTTS YesOver 2.5 Yes
Predicted score
3-1
Key insight

Real Madrid's underlying xG profile (2.71 for, 1.05 against) is markedly superior to Real Sociedad's (1.36 for, 1.24 against), and their recent form across six games — five wins and a draw, scoring 14 goals — points to a high-functioning attack against a side that has lost four of their last six and failed to score in their opening La Liga fixture. Real Sociedad's leaky defensive record (1.83 conceded per game in recent form) is ill-suited to absorbing Real Madrid's offensive output at the Bernabéu.

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Markets & probabilities
Match result (1 · X · 2)
Real Madrid
80%
Draw
13%
Real Sociedad
7%
Double chance
Real Madrid or Draw
93%
Home or Away
87%
Draw or Real Sociedad
20%
Total goals (2.5)
Over 2.5
70%
Under 2.5
30%

Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.