PSG are massive away favourites at 1.5, and the H2H record strongly supports that price — they've won four of the last six meetings, including a 5-0 demolition at Rennes in December 2025 and a 4-1 win there in March 2025. PSG's xG data (1.72 xG for, just 0.51 against in available sample) underlines a genuine quality gap in ball control and finishing. Rennes' recent form (three straight losses before a brief recovery) and open defensive record (2.17 goals conceded per game) make them a poor host for an elite side.