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La Liga
Full time · Matchweek 3
IQ Result Pick
Draw
52%
confidence
BTTS YesOver 2.5 No
Predicted score
1-1
Key insight

Both sides are evenly matched on early-season data: Sevilla's perfect start (2W, 6 points) is undercut by the absence of Oso, one of their two standout performers, while Atletico arrive missing Julián Álvarez, Le Normand, Sørloth and Lemar — a significant attacking and defensive blow that blunts their usual structure. With no market odds to anchor the price and both squads meaningfully weakened by injuries, a tight, low-scoring contest is the most likely outcome.

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Markets & probabilities
Match result (1 · X · 2)
Sevilla
23%
Draw
27%
Atletico Madrid
50%
Double chance
Sevilla or Draw
50%
Home or Away
73%
Draw or Atletico Madrid
77%
Total goals (2.5)
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%

Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.