Toulouse head into this opener on stronger recent form (four wins in their last six) and enjoy a clear rest advantage — seven days versus Lyon's four — which matters on a warm August opening weekend. Lyon arrive with a leaky recent defensive record (1.5 goals conceded per game) and are missing five players including Kluivert and Niakhate, meaningfully weakening their attack and back line. H2H also favours Toulouse in the two most recent meetings, both of which Toulouse won.