Inter Miami are scoring at 2.0 per game over their last six but conceding at 2.5, reflecting a leaky defence that has produced four losses in six. Toronto FC's xG data (avgFor 1.16, avgAgainst 2.21) reveals they create little and concede heavily on expected metrics, despite a surface form line that looks balanced. Miami's significant injury list (six first-team absentees) blunts their attack, but H2H at Nu Stadium has strongly favoured Miami in recent years (4-3, 3-1 in 2024, and a 4-2 win in Toronto earlier this 2026 season). No market odds are available so confidence is anchored conservatively.