World Cup 2026 · Archive
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IQ-Predicted · Updated Daily
World Cup 2026 Bracket
PredictionsIQ's predicted path from Round of 32 to the Final. Updated as group stage results come in.
IQ predicted World Cup 2026 champion
Spain
From Group H · IQ confidence: high
Final · July 19 · MetLife Stadium
SpainWVS
Argentina52%Win probability48%
3rd Place · July 18
FranceWVS
England53%Win probability47%
Semi-finals
2 matchesSemi-finals14 Jul
FranceVS
SpainW52%Win probability48%
Semi-finals15 Jul
EnglandVS
ArgentinaW51%Win probability49%
Quarter-finals
4 matchesQuarter-finals9 Jul
FranceWVS
Morocco62%Win probability38%
Quarter-finals9 Jul
SpainWVS
Belgium58%Win probability42%
Quarter-finals10 Jul
NorwayVS
EnglandW40%Win probability60%
Quarter-finals12 Jul
ArgentinaWVS
Colombia56%Win probability44%
Round of 16
8 matchesRound of 164 Jul
ParaguayVS
FranceW26%Win probability74%
Round of 164 Jul
CanadaVS
MoroccoW42%Win probability58%
Round of 166 Jul
PortugalVS
SpainW47%Win probability53%
Round of 167 Jul
USAVS
BelgiumW48%Win probability52%
Round of 165 Jul
BrazilVS
NorwayW63%Win probability37%
Round of 166 Jul
MexicoVS
EnglandW41%Win probability59%
Round of 167 Jul
ArgentinaWVS
Egypt62%Win probability38%
Round of 167 Jul
SwitzerlandVS
ColombiaW44%Win probability56%
Round of 32
16 matchesRound of 3229 Jun
GermanyVS
ParaguayW71%Win probability29%
Round of 3230 Jun
FranceWVS
Sweden67%Win probability33%
Round of 3228 Jun
South AfricaVS
CanadaW45%Win probability55%
Round of 3230 Jun
NetherlandsVS
MoroccoW56%Win probability44%
Round of 322 Jul
PortugalWVS
Croatia54%Win probability46%
Round of 322 Jul
SpainWVS
Austria65%Win probability35%
Round of 322 Jul
USAWVS
Bosnia-Herzegovina61%Win probability39%
Round of 321 Jul
BelgiumWVS
Senegal51%Win probability49%
Round of 3229 Jun
BrazilWVS
Japan63%Win probability37%
Round of 3230 Jun
Ivory CoastVS
NorwayW48%Win probability52%
Round of 321 Jul
MexicoWVS
Ecuador58%Win probability42%
Round of 321 Jul
EnglandWVS
DR Congo68%Win probability32%
Round of 323 Jul
ArgentinaWVS
Cape Verde68%Win probability32%
Round of 323 Jul
AustraliaVS
EgyptW44%Win probability56%
Round of 323 Jul
SwitzerlandWVS
Algeria51%Win probability49%
Round of 324 Jul
ColombiaWVS
Ghana61%Win probability39%
Key Knockout Dates
Jun 28–Jul 4Round of 32
Jul 4–7Round of 16
Jul 9–12Quarter-Finals
Jul 14–15Semi-Finals
Jul 183rd Place Play-off
Jul 19Final — MetLife Stadium
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Frequently Asked Questions
When does the World Cup 2026 knockout stage start?▼
The Round of 32 begins on June 28, 2026, with South Africa vs Canada. The last R32 match (Colombia vs Ghana) is on July 4. The Final is on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New York.
How many teams advance from the World Cup 2026 group stage?▼
32 teams advance to the knockout stage — the top 2 from each of the 12 groups (24 teams) plus the 8 best third-place finishers.
Who will win World Cup 2026?▼
Our IQ prediction model picks France as the most likely World Cup 2026 champion based on squad depth, current form, tactical analysis, and historical tournament performance.
Where is the World Cup 2026 Final?▼
The World Cup 2026 Final will be played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (New York metro area) on July 19, 2026. It is the largest stadium in the US with a capacity of 82,500.