Charlotte's recent form (W W L W W L ending in two wins) and significantly higher scoring rate (2.0 goals/game vs DC United's 1.0) give them a clear edge at home. Critically, Charlotte's xG against (1.9) is elevated, suggesting their defence has been fortunate — but DC United's xG for (0.85) is weak enough that the hosts should still prevail. Charlotte has won four of six H2H meetings and is unbeaten at home against DC in recent years.
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Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.

