This is Round 3 of La Liga — tiny samples mean form and xG are noisy signals. The market prices Real Sociedad as a moderate home favourite (1.90) despite a poor opening-day result, suggesting it is pricing in Anoeta's home-fortress reputation and Real Sociedad's underlying quality over a one-game blip. Espanyol won their opener 3-0 but carry 13 rest days versus Real Sociedad's 8, and road form (W L D D D W over six) is far less impressive than their single home result implies.