This is Round 3 with tiny samples on both sides — Sevilla's season stats are absent and Atletico's xG comes from just one game, making form and xG signals very noisy. No market odds are provided, so we default conservatively: home advantage and Sevilla's strong recent run (5W1D in last 6) offset Atletico's squad quality edge. H2H is evenly split with both sides winning at home, reinforcing a balanced outlook.
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Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.

