AC Milan have dominated this exact fixture in recent memory — 4-0 at home last season and 2-0 before that — and the head-to-head is a clean sweep for Milan across all four meetings. Venezia arrive ranked 18th with 0 points, failed to score in their opener, and are without key personnel, while Milan's xG profile (2.15 for, 1.29 against) signals a structurally superior side even accounting for the absences of Leao and Gimenez. The market price of 1.42 accurately reflects a heavy favourite.