Everton have a strong H2H record in this fixture, winning three of the last four home encounters against Crystal Palace and losing none at home in this run. Palace arrive with poor recent form (two wins in six, conceding 11 in that stretch at 1.83 per game) and a makeshift backline, while the confirmed Everton XI has real Premier League quality in Pickford, Tarkowski, Branthwaite and Ndiaye. The market's mild home tilt (2.20) looks broadly fair but slightly underestimates Everton's structural edge at home in this fixture.
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Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.