The market is emphatic — Roma at 1.45 implies ~69% win probability, and the underlying signals back it up. Roma's recent form shows a prolific attack averaging 2.33 goals per game across their last six, and their opening-day performance (4-goal swing in GD) suggests genuine firepower. H2H is strongly in Roma's favour: they have won four of the last six meetings, with Lecce failing to score in three of those encounters at home. Despite Lecce's bright start (a clean-sheet win in Round 1), one game is an extremely noisy sample — early-season caution applies.