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Premier League
Full time · Matchweek 2
IQ Result Pick
Draw
53%
confidence
BTTS YesOver 2.5 No
Predicted score
1-1
Key insight

The market prices this as a genuine coin-flip — home at 2.60, away at 2.70 — reflecting real parity between two newly-promoted/mid-table sides at the start of the season. This is only Round 2 with tiny xG and standings samples, so form and xG carry limited weight; the pricing and H2H pattern (two draws in the last three meetings at Elland Road, three draws in the last four overall) point strongly toward a tight, low-scoring contest. Leeds' xG against (0.92) suggests defensive solidity, while Brentford's high xG-against (1.84) means they are vulnerable on the road.

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Markets & probabilities
Match result (1 · X · 2)
Leeds
36%
Draw
29%
Brentford
35%
Double chance
Leeds or Draw
65%
Home or Away
71%
Draw or Brentford
64%
Total goals (2.5)
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.