Minnesota's xG profile (2.0 for, 0.93 against — albeit a small sample) suggests their underlying performance is notably stronger than their 1.1 goals-per-game average implies, while Orlando's season numbers are alarming: 2.5 goals conceded per game, only 2 clean sheets in 20 matches, and 11 losses. The Loons' defence has been generous in raw terms (1.4 GA/game) but their xG-against of 0.93 suggests they've been somewhat unlucky; Orlando's attack (1.6 GF/game) should still threaten, but their leaky backline is a major liability on the road.