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Serie A
Full time · Matchweek 2
IQ Result Pick
Sassuolo to win
53%
confidence
Re-priced on confirmed XI · pick updated IQ Edge +26% @ 2.37BTTS YesOver 2.5 Yes
Predicted score
2-1
Key insight

This is a near-coinflip between two promoted/mid-table sides with identical records (0 points, -1 GD) after one game each. The market mildly favours Sassuolo at home (2.25 vs 3.30), and their xG for from the single sample (2.70) looks inflated and unreliable with n=1 — Torino's recent six-game form (W W D W across last four meaningful results) is the stronger signal, but that is pre-season/prior campaign form already priced in. Home advantage is the marginal tiebreaker here.

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Markets & probabilities
Match result (1 · X · 2)
Sassuolo
42%
Draw
29%
Torino
29%
Double chance
Sassuolo or Draw
71%
Home or Away
71%
Draw or Torino
58%
Total goals (2.5)
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%

Probabilities implied by market odds (margin removed). Full probabilities, IQ pick & BTTS are IQ PRO.