Freiburg arrive in scintillating form — six wins from six with 20 goals scored and only 4 conceded, an average of 3.33 goals per game — and are the clear market favourite at 2.35 despite playing away. Paderborn sit 18th (newly promoted or bottom side) with zero Bundesliga points this season, and while their recent form looks decent in goals terms, that form sample is tiny (Round 2) and likely from a lower division. The form differential and market pricing both point firmly to Freiburg, and the H2H across six meetings heavily favours them: 4 Freiburg wins, 2 Paderborn wins, all results producing goals.