Vancouver's xG profile is extraordinary — averaging 2.06 xG for and just 0.68 xG against — against a Sporting KC side that has conceded 13 goals in their last six matches and sits 15th with a -30 goal difference. The quality gap is vast, and the H2H record backs it up: Vancouver have won four of the last five meetings, keeping clean sheets in three of them. Sporting's recent form (one win in six) offers no counter-argument.