The market is unambiguous: Leverkusen at 1.57 reflects a massive quality gap between a Bundesliga title contender and a newly promoted/lower-standing Elversberg side. This is Matchday 1, so form samples are pre-season noise — squad quality and European pedigree are the dominant signals here. Leverkusen's defensive record over the last six (4 conceded, 0.67 avg) against Elversberg's 1.17 avg conceded underlines the mismatch in defensive solidity.