Vancouver's market price (1.48, ~68% implied) is significantly tempered by a heavy injury list that includes B. White — their top scorer with 10 goals — which is a concrete, stated signal to shade confidence downward from the market anchor. Their recent form is poor (W1 in last 6) yet their league standing (2nd, +22 GD) reflects genuine quality over a longer sample. FC Dallas arrive in good recent form (W4 in last 6, averaging 1.67 goals scored) and their xG-based attack (~1.92 per game) is the strongest signal in the data, making this a closer contest than the price implies.