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World Cup 2026 · Archive

The tournament has ended. For live picks, see our Premier League & La Liga predictions.

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IQ Model · Updated Daily

Who Will Win the World Cup 2026?

PredictionsIQ's model analyses squad depth, current form, H2H history and tactical matchups to predict the most likely World Cup 2026 winner.

IQ Predicted World Cup 2026 Champion
Spain flag
Spain
IQ win probability: 15% · Most likely path: Group H → R32 → R16 → QF → SF → Final

Top Contenders — Win Probability

#1
France flag
France18%
#2
Brazil flag
Brazil17%
#3
Spain flag
Spain15%
#4
England flag
England13%
#5
Germany flag
Germany11%
#6
Argentina flag
Argentina10%
#7
Portugal flag
Portugal8%
#8
Morocco flag
Morocco5%

Win probabilities based on IQ model. Remaining ~3% shared across all other qualified nations.

IQ Predicted Final — July 19, MetLife Stadium

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WC2026 Knockout Stage Dates

Round of 32Jun 28–Jul 4, 2026
Round of 16Jul 4–7, 2026
Quarter-FinalsJul 9–12, 2026
Semi-FinalsJul 14–15, 2026
3rd PlaceJul 18, 2026
FinalJul 19, 2026 · MetLife Stadium

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win the World Cup 2026?
PredictionsIQ's IQ model predicts France as the most likely World Cup 2026 champion, based on squad depth, current tournament form, tactical analysis, and historical performance.
Who are the favourites for World Cup 2026?
France, Brazil, and Spain are the three strongest favourites. England, Germany, and Argentina (defending champions) are the next tier. Portugal and Morocco are dangerous dark horses.
When is the World Cup 2026 Final?
The World Cup 2026 Final is on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (New York metro area). Capacity: 82,500 — the largest stadium in the USA.
How many teams are at World Cup 2026?
48 teams for the first time in history — expanded from 32. 104 total matches played across 16 cities in USA, Canada, and Mexico.
Can any team other than Europe or South America win?
It would be a major upset. Morocco (semi-finalists in 2022, R32 winners in 2026) and USA (host nation advantage) are the most realistic challengers from other confederations.