World Cup 2026 Round of 16 Predictions
IQ model predictions for all 8 World Cup 2026 Round of 16 matches. Win probabilities updated as R32 results confirm. 15/16 R32 matches decided.
All Round of 16 Predictions
IQ R16 Analysis
The WC2026 R32 established a precedent: strength gaps do not guarantee comfortable wins in knockout football. Germany (88) vs Paraguay (58) — a 30-point gap — ended 1-1 with Paraguay winning on penalties. The same with Netherlands (84) vs Morocco (76). The IQ model adjusts for this upset probability in every R16 prediction.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is the default in R16. Unlike group-stage games where weaker teams park the bus, R16 teams push for a winner from minute 1. Substitutions, tactical adjustments, and desperation create more open games.
Key upsets to watch: Mexico vs England in Azteca (altitude + crowd), Paraguay vs France (upset pedigree confirmed vs Germany), Canada vs Morocco (compact shape beats attacking teams).
Frequently Asked Questions
When are the World Cup 2026 Round of 16 matches?
The WC2026 Round of 16 takes place July 4–7, 2026, after the Round of 32 concludes on July 4.
How many Round of 16 matches are there in World Cup 2026?
There are 8 Round of 16 matches in WC2026. The expanded 48-team format adds a Round of 32 before the R16, making the knockout stages longer.
Which teams are most likely to win the WC2026 Round of 16?
France, Brazil, Spain, England, Argentina, and Portugal are the strongest favourites in the R16 based on IQ model predictions.
Where are the WC2026 Round of 16 matches played?
R16 matches are spread across US and Canada: AT&T Stadium (Dallas), MetLife Stadium (New York), SoFi Stadium (Los Angeles), Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta), NRG Stadium (Houston), Estadio Azteca (Mexico City), Levi's Stadium (San Francisco), and BC Place (Vancouver).
Predicted matchups update dynamically as R32 results confirm · Predictions for entertainment purposes only · 18+ · Gamble responsibly.